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Alexandra Barcus's avatar

Now I am depressed. I know the oligarchs and dictators don’t worry about things like climate change because they’re hey expect to be able to buy alternative ways to survive. So the notion of a sort of Soylent green or organ harvesting really is no surprise. I have an intense dislike for people who choose themselves over everyone else. The oligarchs are only where they are because of the work of millions of individuals who have brought our enlightenment and insights to the current place.

That aside, I was buoyed by your tale of Rheinmetall’s commitment to bringing about necessary levels of production to protect democracy. Determination and devotion to a cause are still meaningful concepts.

Bravo on your estimates for output. Once again your calculations prove how well you analyze the military situations confronting us. Your work is invaluable.

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Sara Frischer's avatar

Hang in Alexandra. Shankar always tells it like it is and how he sees it. Yesterday was a very rough day. Survivors of Epsteins et al held a press conference and at the end the reporters asked them if they were part of a hoax. We are here, we are real, we stand before you for the first time, because no one has asked us to speak .... We suffered harms which we have had to live with in silence until this moment.( I paraphrase) This effects all of us who are human beings capable of empathy.

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Alexandra Barcus's avatar

That was an amazing press conference. I admire the strength of those women. And Trump showed his colors once again with the flyover.

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Sara Frischer's avatar

It takes amazing courage to come out and speak in public as these women did yesterday. trumps desperate attempt to silence them with the flyover absurd . How many meals taken away from people in need did that cost? In his press conference with Poland’s President declaring at the same time that the Epstein affair is all a hoax… Another embarressment for the US.

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Alexandra Barcus's avatar

He spends money left and right in huge amounts just for the optics. And Congress does nothing about it. It makes me very angry.

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Leigh Horne's avatar

Let's not forget that Trump ordered a military flyover of their presentation. What a dick.

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Piscator *'s avatar

By the early ‘80s it was recognized if they come through the gap, ammunition requirements would be significantly higher than estimated and would be much higher than expected or imagined. An increase was either stated or planned for. As the threat died with the USSR, any real effort obviously ended. Seems to have turned out that even though the worst ones of their wildest nightmares would not have been enough, if that had happened.

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Robot Bender's avatar

Those reporter's questions were absolutely disgusting.

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Sara Frischer's avatar

Robot, I agree. The questions sound like they don’t have any original thought or understanding of the situation our country IS IN. Are they that walled off or just protecting the money in their pockets from having access to a microphone?

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Michiel Nijk's avatar

I never thought I'd praise the CEO of a German arms manufacturer, but Papperger is a visionary and a hero. Putin saw this early on.

That's why he tried to assassinate Papperger...

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Yes.

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Leigh Horne's avatar

Aha. Here's your passion, Shankar. The passion of the true patriot and genuine warrior. It is too bad we need arms and police and armies, but the human race is what it is. Years ago when I was studying the defined character disorders of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of the APA, I learned, to my dismay, that at least 20% of the general population are psychopathic. And that's not counting some of the other chilling wrinkles in the human psyche. We are who we are, and it is what it is. We must stop people like that from creating chaos and robbing us blind, and worse. Organ harvesting is just the tip of the iceberg. AND if we are wise we will also start spending serious money on education, medical and agricultural research, and preserving the environment. Beating our swords into plowshares, however and whenever and wherever we can. Too.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

True.

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Ingram's avatar

Great analysis, Shankar. My father was a China Marine in Shanghai before WWII, so I grew up hooked on that history — and in the 70s I spent plenty of afternoons buried in the public library reading (best A/C in Florida back then!). Your comparison of Papperger’s foresight instantly made me think of Henry Kaiser in the U.S. and Lord Beaverbrook in Britain (a controversial character for sure), two men who got supply chains rolling before their governments even knew what hit them. Kaiser’s yards ended up cranking out the 10,500-ton Victory ship SS Robert E. Peary in just 4 days, while Beaverbrook pulled German, Austrian, and Czech Jewish engineers out of internment camps to supercharge Spitfire production in 1940.

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Sara Frischer's avatar

Thank you, Shankar, "Both the far right and far left use this to keep us dumb and hold us down. Fuck the right and fuck the left. Our freedom has a cost. It will always carry a price tag. What we need is strong deterrence that can protect our freedom and allow us to pass the democratic world to our kids.

There are seven or eight men in the world and a handful of American oligarchs who want to make us their slaves.

We cannot let them win."

Our hearts are here together.

Gary Kasparov posted, You usually only get one chance, and it’s a lot harder to remove a dictatorship than to prevent one. Trust me on that."

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Chris (CJ Fitz)'s avatar

Just finished a little stock purchase last night. Needed a bit of European exposure and they seemed like a good place to start.

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Delia Wozniak's avatar

Brilliant analysis! You hit your mark, Shankar!

Freedom has a very high price today!

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Paul M Sotkiewicz's avatar

“We cannot let them win.” No, not just this year, it is not ever let those bastards win! This is the most direct articulation I have read that we need string deterrence. It costs money. But deterrence is also not just physical, it is psychological and educational. The west is and will continue to be under psychological and narrative warfare attack creating the MAGA GOP in the US, Nigel Farage and his ilk in the UK, Vox in Spain, or AfD in Germany. And we still remain defenseless and refuse to engage in proper deterrence or counter narrative warfare.

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Canadian Returnee's avatar

Yes better to rely on non-American suppliers based on previous lessons Ukraine learned.

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PhilsThom's avatar

All true but my perspective is that the Russia/Ukraine war will not be won on the battlefield. Russia will run into the cold hard brick walls of oil shortages, recession, logistical disruptions, a frozen hungry army which isn’t winterised, demographics, and a freezing, rouble-less population.

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RCThweatt's avatar

So..The "Arsenal of Democracy" has been moved from the US to Germany, as far as 155 mm is conerned. This seems to be part of a trend.

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billy mccarthy's avatar

the oligarchs have a few visions, one is making money and longlivness for themselves, the other to keeps the majority poor and uneducated

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SomeNYDude (he/him)'s avatar

Excellent analysis of Rheinmetall. As I said the other day, the US has invested more in excess profits than supply chains.

Putin, Xi, Trump and Kim may fantasize about harvesting organ transplants ala Squid Games and living to 150. Science has not proven that true. They will die, and the world will be better for it.

Will the FP-7 and FP-9 meet the HIMARS need?

https://substack.com/@russiaanalyzed/note/c-152294780

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

No

FPs have a different role. You need s precision strike weapon like the ATACMS to cover the 300 km range..this us where most of the ground troops and their staging area will be. FPs are for production bases and deep assets.

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SomeNYDude (he/him)'s avatar

I hope Rheinmetall or Ukraine develops it. The FP-9 seems over the range and the FP-7 has 200 km of range.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Tactical precision weapon vs strategic missile.

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11Gengar11🇨🇦's avatar

A very realistic view for our time in history. The world order changed and now we must accept it and give up our toys for the tools we need to survive.

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Tony's avatar

Fuck yeah

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K Flowers's avatar

I'm with you! 💯👌

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