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Craig Ewing's avatar

Russia falls before end of January 2025. You read it here first! (Okay, it's more a hope than a reasoned forecast, but all of Shankar's, Dylan's, Nadin's and Barry's reports give me such hope.)

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

That's too early sir. A lot will depend on rubles fall. If it breaks 134 it can happen as you said. But I would wager another three months atleast above 45k casualties. March 2025.

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BARRY GANDER's avatar

Lovely optimistic view! Hope you are right!

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Alexandra Barcus's avatar

Truly amazing.

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Frank Moore's avatar

If this implosion of Russia occurs as early as March 2025, Trump’s assault on the dismantling of American democracy will be into its second month. How do you think such an event in Russia, should it play out, have any impact on Trump’s domestic agenda of destruction at home, if any.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

He will claim victory, saying that Biden couldn’t end it, but as soon as I came in, it all came to an end. He will use this to strengthen his image as a strongman. When it comes to his domestic agenda, much depends on what happens with Russia. Whether Putin stays or leaves will make a significant difference. Without Putin, right-wing movements around the world will lose momentum, and this will impact MAGA as well.

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Frank Moore's avatar

Agreed. Without intervention by Trump, the stalemate in Ukraine will remain and continue to bleed out Russia’s coffers. And unless Zelensky gets behind whatever peace plan is sold, the battle will continue. If so, and if Kyiv ends up falling, that’s not a good look for the “only I can end the war” Trump. The guerrilla war will continue even without a Ukrainian leader. Tactical nukes won’t stop a guerrilla war. Russia will continue a slow bleed. I’m not convinced Trump has any skill to negotiate peace and Russia’s travails will keep the world unbalanced and will steal the thunder and media attention over Trump’s performative authoritarianism which will be a mile wide and an inch deep.

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