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Alexandra Barcus's avatar

Five stars. This analysis is a thing of beauty. You make everything from the political in Europe and the U.S. to th military considerations to the hardware production and delivery crystal clear. It all makes perfect sense. And you have answered all my annoying questions. This is good news indeed. Ukraine will be supported steadily by multiple sources. And the cube analogy of how this must happen step-wise makes perfect sense.

I had not realized that Caine had, of course, delivered the goods regarding Iran. That gives him serious credibility with the decision maker in chief.

Recent events with Russia bombing an EU building in Ukraine and with drone flyovers of EU territory should be ratcheting up the alarm in the EU and Britain. This is their fight and it is scheduled for the near term Clearly Canada stepping up in a big way right now sends a message to the EU (and tremendous support), and it sends a signal to the White House, despite Trump’s comments, that a win against Russia is possible. And Carney is a master of financial planning. He knows Russia cannot have breathing space.

I only hope Putin will cease to put everything on the line by bombing Ukraine so heavily in civilian areas..If he continues it will only strengthen the resolve of the opposition and the ferocity with which he will be taken down.

Thank you, Shankar for all your hard work. The world, at least the US, has seemed pretty dark recently. Now I have real hope.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Putin will likely to run to China now. I am counting the days.

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Sara Frischer's avatar

axis of evil

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Yep

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Leigh Horne's avatar

Is this to take advantage of the fact that we have a Sick Man in the White House, and so a matter of some urgency, given his rapid decline, or a sign of something more substantial? After centuries of territorial disputes between China and Russia/USSR a stable alliance between those two nations seems less than likely to me.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

China is now even trying to pull India to a Russia-China-India axis. I don't know how is that supposed to work, but the way Trump is messing up India, Xi thinks it is worth a try.

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billy mccarthy's avatar

russian drones over eu air space, why is this tolerated, they should be blown out of the sky

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

They will talk for two years. Aint gonna happen. I wont be surprised if some one calls Ukraine and asks, hey can you please shoot em down

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BJ Zamora's avatar

This is a helpful and important review of the current military atmosphere around Ukraine’s defense. Understanding General Caine’s role in these shifts in the allied support for Ukraine helps me at least feel hopeful.

But I would differ with you over your more polite phrase “Trump deals in binaries” and instead better understand that Trump sees only zero sum games and actions where any time others win, either a point or an issue, he himself must be losing. And like the fool he is, he’s easily manipulated by Putin and cannot forgive Zelenskyy for being the leader he wishes others saw him as being.

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Maggie Hathaway-Mills's avatar

WASHINGTON, August 28, 2025 - The State Department has made a determination approving a possible Foreign Military Sale to the Government of Ukraine of Air Delivered Munitions and related equipment for an estimated cost of $825 million. The Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress.

Well done that man General Caine.

I come from a military family, my mother was a major in a Transport Regiment, my husband in Royal Engineers and later in RAF 47 Sqdn Hercules Transport . So I fully appreciate the Strategic/tactical actions of this great American General who reads Trump correctly and fully supports NATO and the UK. Now it's time for Starmer to step up to the plate and quickly take action on Ukrainian support.

Slava Ukraini!

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Leigh Horne's avatar

Love your enthusiasm and, as always, your analytic acumen.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Was i enthusiastic? I felt like I was back to my complaining at the end...but uk and france need some mirror.

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Leigh Horne's avatar

Selective complaining can be seen as an act of respect, Shankar. And/or 'tough love.' Why bother complaining to someone you don't think has the capacity to listen and learn. Keep it up.

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Brian Rosen's avatar

Sale to the Government of Ukraine of Air Delivered Munitions and related equipment for an estimated cost of $825 million…is that actually a profit ?

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

I know. Just shows how much money has been wasted. 3 years. Nuts.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Always.

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SomeNYDude (he/him)'s avatar

A breakthrough, Mr. Narayan. Thanks for laying out the steps General Caine took to make it happen.

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K Flowers's avatar

👌💯❤

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Aocm🇨🇦's avatar

Thanks Shankar. I don’t read much confidence in this wording: “approving a POSSIBLE Foreign Military Sale”

“It's time for the UK and France to fully own their share of this fight.“ Can they tho, withtheir internal troubles?

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Yes. Both have no F16s. They need to use pressure tactics to get them out of European nations that operate F16s. Both UK and France do have significant pilot training capacity, and it wont cost them much either. Totally doable. Just need to learn that clarity and relentlessness from the Germans

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Doug Hiller's avatar

What’s your guess on the future of the potential delivery of the Greek F-16s to Ukraine?

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Oh boy. These people have like 150 units I think. If they did not see the need to send 1 unit, to this very day, I think we can safely deduce what kind of government that is. They dont want to give, for what reason I do not know. I think UK, France and Germany must do something about Greece. This has gone way too long.

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Doug Hiller's avatar

Flew F-4 and F-16. Last flight in 1991 with VT ANG. One of my cohorts is now a retired three star who spent time at the pentagon and had high praise for Dan Caine. Good to hear his assessment was correct.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

We lucked into him.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

The FMS moves the ball out of the bro gang and to the congress. This is done. No need to worry about this anymore. I am only talking about the 3350 ERAMS.

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Aocm🇨🇦's avatar

Thanks

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billy mccarthy's avatar

i recon that both are due a visit from the imf, that will really feck things up

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window's avatar

Satellite Images Appear To Show Russia Has New Spy Base on NATO's Doorstep - Newsweek https://share.google/B2i1VxAaf0cWl9kTx

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billy mccarthy's avatar

are they under cobys thumb

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

Confidence is not 100%.

I think he can't block hits within Ukrainian territory, but he will clearly play with any strikes that is inside Russian territory. But either way, as PURL intensifies, his review mechanism strategy to help Musk and Thiel achieve their objectives will be under intense political pressure.

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