Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Simon Cast's avatar

And quietly pressuring Raytheon to begin manufacturing the Patriot interceptors in Europe.

I still would place a bet that Ukraine has designed and is testing a Patriot like interceptor that can be fired from the Patriot batteries.

Expand full comment
Robert Jaffee's avatar

“So if he starts to believe Putin is a loser—or even worse, if he thinks the probability of Putin losing has crossed the 50% mark (and it has)—then he’s going to think very hard about tying his future to a sinking regime.”

You’re probably right Shankar, but Trump won’t give up on Putin without a fight. He just gave Putin another lifeline by lifting sanctions on their banks that finance the war. He refused to add sanctions after saying repeatedly that if Putin doesn’t make a deal he would; every two weeks or so, and then every two weeks would come and go.

As for offensive operations? I just read (Lev Parnas’s) Substack yesterday in which he details some operations in the last week (details below):

1. Kamikaze drone strike on Kupol — 1,300 km deep inside Russia—obliterating the Kupol Electromechanical Plant in Izhevsk, Udmurtia — a key facility that produces air-defense systems and surveillance drones for Russia’s war machine.

2. Storm Shadow strike on Russia’s 8th Combined Arms Army HQ in Donetsk—In occupied Donetsk, Ukrainian forces launched British-made Storm Shadow cruise missiles and targeted the heart of Russia’s military command. The headquarters of the 8th Combined Arms Army — responsible for commanding major operations in Donbas — was leveled.

3. Bober drone hits in occupied Crimea—Ukraine’s HUR (military intelligence) deployed domestically produced UJ-26 “Bober” drones and scored multiple direct hits on a Russian Pantsir-S1 air-defense system and an SU-30 fighter jet, radar systems and a Russian Pantsir-S1 air-defense system.

Therefore, it sounds like Ukraine is going on the offensive when the opportunities arise, and at worst are keeping the Russian’s dazed and confused!

That said, the Ukrainian’s have proven themselves to be quite the creative genius’s utilizing asymmetrical warfare, and is making Putin’s life a living hell! And it will only get worse as the weeks and months pass (hopefully)! IMHO…:)

Expand full comment
25 more comments...

No posts