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Stephen ONeill's avatar

The rise of Canada, under the new Prime Minister, Mark Carney, has been one of the most pleasant surprises in a world seemingly spiraling out of control. For that we have Trump to thank. Without his insane threats to Canada's sovereignty we might have had a mini-Trump like Pierre Poilievre in charge. But now the West has a true leader with impeccable European connections and a firm grip on geopolitics and how to use them. So, the new "axis" you envision makes good sense.

As for China...yes, they are sensitive to international perceptions of their role in supporting Russia, and yes, they fear a de-stabilized Russia...but...they have never forgotten the northern lands of Outer Manchuria that they lost in the 19th century to Russia (Treaties of Aigun (1858) and Peking (1860)). They have even re-introduced the old Chinese names for this land in recent maps. China plays the "long game". They have quietly been signing security agreements with the so-called "stans" of Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan) through their "Belt and Road" trade initiatives. Xi Jinping has been emphasizing a concept he calls "Shared Future" with these countries through increased economic, military and political integration. So, a de-stabilized Russia could also offer greater opportunities for Chinese expansion: Lock in the Central Asian countries, re-take Outer Manchuria (at least through economic dominance, which they are slowly doing now) and make a Russian "rump state" subservient to China. There are probably a number of variations on this "theme" that could develop but one thing is certain...we are living in "interesting times", indeed.

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Shankar Narayan's avatar

That is very very true. Thanks Trump......

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