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Simon Cast's avatar

Having lived through the first Gulf War in the Gulf and back again here now, I think this might have been the right decision (although it will take years before we definitively know). Definitely echos of 1990s in feel.

I know the Administration is claiming the "2 weeks" was a bluff but I don't necessarily think it was a Trump planned thing. Rather the military planners hoped to use it, so someone was able to convince Trump to launch the strike when he hadn't planned to since it went against what Putin wanted. I'm curious as to how Putin lost this decision. It might be that without a constant Russian asset talking to Don, Putin's hold is weaker than expected.

The outrage in MAGA camp and low support based among US population on the polling probably won't make this a bounce decision for Trump. Nor has his televised address done much to justify the decision. It has only highlighted once again to the US public the No Kings message. Along with sidelining the DNI in the process, I think this will fracture the MAGA coalition even more.

It also speaks to how various factions in the Administration basically manipulate Trump into a decision they want and none of the MAGA factions won this round.

In terms of what is next for Iran, this might be one time that Israel has a day-after plan that isn't just continuing to bomb. The Crown Prince of Iran was in contact with Israel for the last year or two and has come out very vocally for the overthrow of the current regime BY the Iranian's themselves. The regime has basically cut internet because they are afraid of the Iranian people. If the IRGC and other security organs of the regime are weakened enough that will help the Iranian people.

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Robert Jaffee's avatar

Operative words: Israel did the heavy lifting, and Trump went in for the easy kill. The real issue is what comes next.

A great outcome only strengthens Trump and MAGA’s hand to continue to implement draconian policies here, as well as against our allies. Additionally, Trump will continue to consolidate power with impunity, and turn this nation into a corrupt kakistocracy in the mold of Hungary.

Bottom line: No matter how you slice it, America still loses! And as for Israel, it is only emboldening the messianic Jews who run the country, to continue its ethic cleaning in Gaza, and the West Bank.

God, I hope I am wrong, but what Trump did was illegal; he usurped Congress’s authority, and now we are normalizing Trump’s worst impulses, and giving MAGA more credibility and legitimacy when it comes to the Unitary Executive Theory, which Trump will use to quell dissent, and continue his rampage in blue states, and eventually the country. IMHO…:)

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