How Carney Got Trump to Back Down

Polls Show Stable Momentum for Carney Campaign

Momentum and stability in the same sentence?

I wrote the subtitle and kept staring at it—because those two words rarely belong together. But that’s exactly how it feels watching the polling numbers coming out of Canada over the past ten weeks. Since mid-January, the Liberals have been riding a wave of momentum that hasn’t let up. At some point, the surge will stop and the numbers will stabilize. But as of today, it looks like there’s still a bit more road left in this run.

Liberal Party leader Mark Carney is now sitting on a 3.6-point lead over Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. He’s threatening to break out of the polling margin of error, and the odds are looking increasingly good for that final, critical surge to happen. After Donald Trump’s call to Prime Minister Carney on Friday, the wind is at Carney’s back to cross that breakout threshold.