Did you see the turnout in Wisconsin?

How the GOP got its ass kicked in Wisconsin and Florida

Not for a second do I believe that Team Trump accidentally picked April 2nd, 2025, for their big ‘Tariff Day’ rollout — just 24 hours after two key elections.. There were a few races on the docket, but two stood out: the high-stakes Wisconsin Supreme Court election, where Elon Musk personally dropped nearly $25 million backing the right-wing candidate, and the special election in Florida’s 6th congressional district, where Donald Trump himself dialed in for two tele-rallies to boost the Republican contender.

Divide and rule, eh? Musk handled Wisconsin. Trump took Florida. And the GOP got its ass kicked in both.

In Wisconsin, Susan Crawford — the democrat-backed candidate — stormed to victory with a ten-point margin, despite Republicans enjoying a $10 million-plus financial edge. In Florida, Randy Fine — the Trump-endorsed candidate for the House seat — underperformed badly in a ruby-red district, despite a full-court press from the party’s top brass.

Both results show a dramatic 10 to 19 point swing away from Republicans. The message? Voters are shifting. And no amount of Musk money or MAGA hype could stop it.

Democrats, for their part, are taking clear note of the shift. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries didn’t mince words when asked about the implications for 2026:

“One point that should have my Republican colleagues quaking in their boots. In the Florida 6th race — a Trump +30 district — the margin was cut in half. There are 60 Republicans in the House who currently represent districts where Trump did worse than 15 or 16 points. And every single one of those districts is now a target on the back of those House Republicans.”

He’s not wrong. But let’s not pretend the shift is static. That 10 to 20-point swing we've just seen? It’s going to keep moving — depending on how much chaos Trump unleashes, how much economic damage the GOP is willing to risk, and how successful Trump is at turning the national spotlight into a circus tent.

Even a 5 to 10-point movement away from Republicans — and that’s looking like a conservative estimate — is enough to hand Democrats the House with room to spare.

But I didn’t start writing this piece to daydream about Democratic chances in 2026. I started it because of two critical data points — two real-world results that tell us something far more urgent about where this country stands, and where it might be heading.