We’ll get to Carney’s plan in a moment. But first, the only poll that matters right now.
With less than two weeks to go, the Liberals—led by Mark Carney—have clawed back a nineteen-point deficit and now lead the right wing 43.6% to 37.8%. That’s not a swing. That’s a reversal of gravity.
It’s been one straight, upward line of momentum. The shift began when Donald Trump couldn’t stop talking about Canada—and it locked in as the world watched the right wing’s “economic genius” turn a humming U.S. recovery into a slow crawl toward recession.
The idea that conservatives know how to run economies? People are laughing now. Not metaphorically—literally. It’s become a global inside joke.
Right-wing support has collapsed back to its hardened shell: the grievance core, the misinformation crowd, the Facebook-fueled culture warriors. Thirty-five percent. That’s the floor for MAGA in the U.S., and it’s the same number showing up for Pierre Poilievre in Canada.
The danger for Poilievre? Trump’s chaos engine isn’t done. He’s not even at his peak yet. He can’t stop—it’s not a tactic, it’s a compulsion. And from now until election day, every time he opens his mouth, it gets worse for Poilievre.
This race is now Mark Carney’s to lose. He’s got the aura. He’s got the wind. And unless something explodes, he’s likely to ride that all the way to the last ballot.
Mark Carney is a seasoned economist. Throw him the job in the middle of a pandemic, and he’ll drop a floor under the economy and steer the country toward a soft landing.
Donald Trump in the White House for four more years is going to be worse than a pandemic. By the time he and his team finish their tax breaks and democracy-killing projects, the global economy will be in a different shape entirely. It can either drown with him—or figure out how to insulate against him.
So naturally, the safety of Carney’s skill set becomes a pretty strong pitch to vote for him.
What I’m feeling good about with Carney is this: he’s taking the middle-out economics playbook developed by President Biden’s team and applying it to one of the critical sectors in Canada.
Carney’s housing plan is the centerpiece of his campaign, and for good reason—it’s big, direct, and aimed right where Canadians are feeling the squeeze.
The promise? Double the number of homes built annually in Canada—nearly 500,000 units a year. And not through hand-waving or wishful zoning. Through a new entity: Build Canada Homes—a lean, mission-driven developer that does one thing only—build affordable housing, at scale, fast.
Carney’s not placing it under CMHC. He wants it separate. Focused. And funded. The plan puts $25 billion in debt financing and $1 billion in equity behind Canadian prefab builders to create a supply line that doesn’t stop and doesn’t overcharge.
On top of that, $10 billion in low-cost financing and grants goes toward building homes that people can actually afford. That includes $2 billion for seniors and students, and a full $6 billion to fast-track deeply affordable, Indigenous, and supportive housing. This isn’t a tweak of the system—it’s a new engine.
And he’s not just thinking about new builds. Carney would slash municipal development charges by 50% for five years, helping cities offset the lost revenue. In real terms, that’s $40,000 off the cost of a two-bedroom apartment in Toronto.
He’s also bringing back a tax incentive from the 1970s—MURBs—that once helped build nearly 200,000 rental units. Combine that with expanded conversion incentives for existing buildings, and you’ve got a plan that hits both ends: build more, convert faster.
And crucially, he’s boosting the Housing Accelerator Fund, which already exists to speed up approval timelines. But under Carney, progress would be publicly tracked—and deadlines would matter again.
Compare that to Poilievre’s plan, which threatens cities with funding cuts if they don’t hit aggressive targets, and you see the difference. One builds. One punishes.
So, there you have it.
No matter how much they try, once you step into the right-wing world, it seems impossible to leave that inner bully behind. I don’t know how the instinct to intimidate got coded so deep—but it’s there. And it shows. Every. Single. Time.
Maybe it’s the gravitational pull of hate in right-wing politics. Maybe it’s just what the movement has become. Either way, the reflex is always the same: punish, threaten, attack.
Sure, the right is trying to counter Carney with plans of their own. But let’s be honest—they’re falling flatter by the day. And honestly?
Good.
Very good.
Carney perhaps has learnt from Biden’s fault , namely that Biden did not execute with a sense of urgency. Biden planned and passed bills for USA long term but elections happen every 4 years. Biden’s mistake is a lesson for every liberal democracy. Execute and show quick results or open the door for demagogues. Not that demagogues can build bridges fast but they can deliver quickly what their base expects like calling some immigrants criminals and deporting them and flooding the zone with worthless but jingoistic EOs
My riding's polling numbers were leaning towards the Tories and then shifted back to the Liberals leading after Donald Trump's antics and when Carney officially replaced Trudeau